The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fehring 20.9%
Draw 21.4%
Ilzer 57.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.6%
23.5%
50.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.9%
22.8%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fehring has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Ilzer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilzer's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fehring than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilzer than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilzer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fehring - Ilzer Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fehring won 0.
Fehring has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Ilzer shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ilzer could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Ilzer has had a run of games away from home.
In this matchup, Ilzer is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Fehring has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:20 (averaging 1.2:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fehring against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:11 goals (averaging 1.4:2.2 per game).