Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Groupama Arena (Budapest)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Ferencvárosi		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.25
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.2	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.29	3.35	3.25
	2.27	3.32	3.44
	2.22	3.45	3.23
	2.27	3.4	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (3.4)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	3.22 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
42.4%

Draw
28.1%

Olympiacos Piraeus
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

26.9%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferencvárosi's performance.

Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olympiacos Piraeus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferencvárosi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympiacos Piraeus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	58.8%	17.6%

Ferencvárosi - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Dibusz D. (C) 31. Wingo H. 27. Cisse I. 3. Mmaee S. 17. Civic E. 16. Zachariassen K. 15. Abu Fani M. 80. Maiga H. 10. Marquinhos 19. Varga B. 11. Kodro K.	1. Paschalakis A. (G) 23. Rodinei 45. Retsos P. 16. Carmo D. 3. Ortega F. 6. Chiquinho 32. Hezze S. 56. Podence D. 5. Horta A. 7. Fortounis K. (C) 9. El Kaabi A.
Substitutes
44. Aaneba I. 22. Abena M. 7. Ben Romdhane M. A. 5. Besic M. 21. Botka E. 55. Katona B. 76. Lisztes K. 25. Makreckis C. 72. Pesic A. 99. Ramirez C. 64. Toth A. 1. Varga A. (G)	15. Alexandropoulos S. 20. Carvalho J. 11. El Arabi Y. 8. Iborra V. 22. Jovetic S. 19. Masouras G. 74. Ntoi A. 99. Papadoudis A. (G) 18. Quini 27. Richards O. 88. Tzolakis K. (G)
Coaches
Stankovic D.	Mendilibar J. L.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Ferencvárosi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olympiacos is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Olympiacos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ferencvárosi will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Halmai A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Olympiacos: Leidner D. (Knee Injury) Martins G. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Olympiacos: Fadiga B. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferencvárosi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.02.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Ferencvárosi	1:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
10.02.24	Debreceni - Ferencvárosi	1:2 ✺
06.02.24	Ferencvárosi - MTK Budapest	5:1 ✺
03.02.24	Kisvárda - Ferencvárosi	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.24	Ferencvárosi - Viktoria Plzeň	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWL
- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
18.02.24	PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.02.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Ferencvárosi	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
10.02.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - OFI	4:0 ✺
04.02.24	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - PAS Giannina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
15.02.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Ferencvárosi	1:0

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