Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 25

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+


	Fernando de la Mora		Resistencia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.10	2.95
	2.12	3.05	3.05
	2.19	2.97	3.02
	2.24	3.23	3.19	Watch
	2.14	2.9	2.95
	2.18	3.04	3.12
	2.14	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.24)	3.06 ↓ (3.28)	3.04 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fernando de la Mora
41.3%

Draw
29.3%

Resistencia
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fernando de la Mora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fernando de la Mora than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Fernando de la Mora - Resistencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fernando de la Mora won 0.

In recent outings, Fernando de la Mora has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Resistencia has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Fernando de la Mora holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Fernando de la Mora has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:9 (averaging 0.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fernando de la Mora against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Resistencia	27	9	8	10	31:32	-1	35

Last Results with these Odds

Fernando de la Mora - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.73%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Resistencia - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.77%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Fernando de la Mora
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
13.09.26	Sol de América - Fernando de la Mora	3:2 ✺
09.09.26	Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Capiatá	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Independiente Asuncion - Fernando de la Mora	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Fernando de la Mora - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Atlético Tembetary - Fernando de la Mora	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTTL
- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
12.09.26	Resistencia - 3 de Noviembre	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	General Caballero JLM - Resistencia	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Resistencia - Guaireña	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Paraguarí - Resistencia	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
27.08.26	Resistencia - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
30.05.26	Resistencia - Fernando de la Mora	3:1
04.08.25	Fernando de la Mora - Resistencia	1:1
28.04.25	Resistencia - Fernando de la Mora	1:0
29.08.24	Fernando de la Mora - Resistencia	0:1
24.05.24	Resistencia - Fernando de la Mora	2:0
09.10.21	Fernando de la Mora - Resistencia	0:1

Fernando de la Mora - Resistencia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide