Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Ferreira de Aves		Castro Daire

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.44
	6.75	3.8	1.38
	6.4	3.9	1.44
	7.71	3.86	1.48
	6.95	3.98	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.71 ↓ (8.47)	3.91 ↓ (4.16)	1.44 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferreira de Aves
13.5%

Draw
23.2%

Castro Daire
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

22.6%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.7%

21.8%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferreira de Aves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Castro Daire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferreira de Aves than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro Daire than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castro Daire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Ferreira de Aves is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castro Daire is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Castro Daire is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferreira de Aves won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferreira de Aves won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CR Ferreira de Aves
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.04.22	Ferreira de Aves - União de Coimbra	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Ferreira de Aves - Gouveia	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Castro Daire - Ferreira de Aves	3:0 ✺
20.03.22	União de Coimbra - Ferreira de Aves	2:2 ✺
06.03.22	Ferreira de Aves - Gondomar	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLTL
- AD Castro Daire
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.04.22	Gouveia - Castro Daire	0:2 ✺
10.04.22	União de Coimbra - Castro Daire	0:0 ✺
03.04.22	Castro Daire - Ferreira de Aves	3:0 ✺
20.03.22	Castro Daire - Gouveia	3:0 ✺
06.03.22	União de Coimbra - Castro Daire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.04.22	Castro Daire - Ferreira de Aves	3:0
20.02.22	Castro Daire - Ferreira de Aves	2:0
05.12.21	Ferreira de Aves - Castro Daire	0:3

Ferreira de Aves - Castro Daire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide