Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 5

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ferreiras		Esperança de Lagos

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	3.05	3	2.15
	3	3.15	2.16
	3.86	3.28	1.97
	3.3	3.32	2.02
	3.05	3.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.4)	3.18 ↑ (3)	2.11 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferreiras
28.4%

Draw
28.5%

Esperança de Lagos
43.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferreiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferreiras's form might have worsened.

Esperança de Lagos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Esperança de Lagos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferreiras than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferreiras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esperança de Lagos than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Esperança de Lagos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ferreiras - Esperança de Lagos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Ferreiras has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Esperança de Lagos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Esperança de Lagos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ferreiras
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.10.22	Rabo de Peixe - Ferreiras	4:1 ✺
09.10.22	Ferreiras - Imortal	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Pero Pinheiro - Ferreiras	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
25.09.22	Angrense - Ferreiras	2:2 ✺
18.09.22	Ferreiras - Praiense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Esperança de Lagos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.10.22	Imortal - Esperança de Lagos	2:2 ✺
09.10.22	Esperança de Lagos - Praiense	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	São João de Ver - Esperança de Lagos	3:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
25.09.22	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Esperança de Lagos	4:1 ✺
18.09.22	Esperança de Lagos - Oriental Dragon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLLW

Ferreiras - Esperança de Lagos

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Ferreiras - Esperança de Lagos Predictions

Preview

Form

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