Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4, LPF Play
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4


	Ferro 2		Estudiantes La Plata 2

	1	X	2
	3.70	3.10	1.90
	3.50	3.20	1.89	Watch
	3.85	3.38	2.03
	3.78	3.28	1.93	Watch
	4.00	3.10	1.92
	3.67	3.56	1.94
	3.65	3.25	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.65)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	1.92 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro 2
24.5%

Draw
28%

Estudiantes La Plata 2
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

26%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

25.3%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Estudiantes La Plata 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Ferro 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Ferro 2 is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Estudiantes LP 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Estudiantes LP 2 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferro 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Estudiantes La Plata 2 - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 49.72%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste 2
Argentinian Reserve League
27.08.26	Central Córdoba 2 - Ferro 2	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Ferro 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	0:5 ✺
13.08.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Ferro 2	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Ferro 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Belgrano 2 - Ferro 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLLT
- Estudiantes La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
26.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Boca Juniors 2	2:3 ✺
19.08.26	Independiente 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	3:1 ✺
07.08.26	Platense 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:3 ✺
23.07.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Quilmes 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
01.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Ferro 2	0:1

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