Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Ferro 2		Quilmes 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	2.78	3.4
	2.28	2.7	3.71
	2.17	2.93	3.5	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.1
	2.22	2.65	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.31)	2.77 ↓ (3.07)	3.47 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro 2
41.1%

Draw
32.8%

Quilmes 2
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

31.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Quilmes 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes 2 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Ferro 2 - Quilmes 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Ferro 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Quilmes 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ferro 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste 2
Argentinian Reserve League
01.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Ferro 2	0:1 ✺
26.03.26	Ferro 2 - Central Córdoba 2	3:1 ✺
19.03.26	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Ferro 2	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Ferro 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	0:0 ✺
17.02.26	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Ferro 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLTL
- Quilmes 2
Argentinian Reserve League
01.04.26	Quilmes 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:0 ✺
26.03.26	Independiente 2 - Quilmes 2	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Quilmes 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Platense 2 - Quilmes 2	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Quilmes 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WTWLW

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