The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferro Carril Oeste 51.3%
Draw 26.3%
Defensores de Belgrano 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.5%
22.5%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.4%
21.2%
14%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferro Carril Oeste's form might have worsened.
Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Defensores de Belgrano's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Defensores de Belgrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Ferro Carril Oeste - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ferro will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Def de Belgrano will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 20).
Ferro has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Defensores de Belgrano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Ferro is certain favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Ferro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.