The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferro Carril Oeste 54.3%
Draw 26.6%
Huracán Buenos Aires 19.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.4%
26.6%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
20.5%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferro Carril Oeste that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huracán Buenos Aires could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ferro Carril Oeste - Huracán Buenos Aires Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 0 - 2, ⚽,
58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
62', 2 - 2, ⚽,
71', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro won 2.
Ferro has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Huracán has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Ferro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Ferro carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Ferro has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:9 (averaging 1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ferro against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).