Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 6

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday

Location: Arena Fonte Luminosa (Araraquara)


	Ferroviária		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.15	2.92
	2.29	3.31	2.89
	2.3	3.39	2.94	Watch
	2.25	3	2.8
	2.26	3.18	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.03)	3.21 ↓ (3.43)	2.89 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
40.2%

Draw
28.4%

Cruzeiro
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27.2%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

27.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferroviária's form might have worsened.

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Ferroviária - Cruzeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luciana (G) 20. Camila 25. Fatima Dutra 13. Grazy 17. Julia Beatriz 8. Maressa 11. Mariana Santos 5. Nicoly (C) 30. Sissi 23. Thayslane 9. Vendito	12. Camila Rodrigues (G) 10. Byanca Brasil (C) 6. Capelinha 95. Gaby Soares 8. Gisseli 28. Mariana Fausto 20. Marilia 4. Paloma 77. Ravenna 3. Tainara 33. Vitoria Calhau
Substitutes
14. Ana Luiza 60. Brenda Pinheiro 16. Dos Santos 21. Duda Freitas 22. Isa Faichel (G) 33. Kedima 26. Maria Fernanda 10. Micaelly 3. Monique	55. Ana Flavia 5. Bedoya L. 64. Claudia (G) 19. Felipe C. 99. Leticia Alves 9. Leticia Ferreira 21. Milena Ferreira 93. Pri Back 11. Rodriguez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Julia Beatriz ⚽,
33', Ravenna ↓, Felipe C. ↑,
45+6', Tainara 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tainara ↓, Milena Ferreira ↑,
46', Mariana Fausto ↓, Leticia Ferreira ↑,
58', Mariana Santos ↓, Dos Santos ↑,
60', Capelinha ↓, Bedoya L. ↑,
62', Grazy 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Byanca Brasil ⚽,
71', Thayslane ↓, Brenda Pinheiro ↑,
71', Julia Beatriz ↓, Duda Freitas ↑,
76', Byanca Brasil ↓, Pri Back ↑,
80', Brenda Pinheiro 🟨,
84', Vendito ↓, Micaelly ↑,
89', Maressa 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 2.

In recent matches, Ferroviária has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cruzeiro is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviária Women
Brasileiro Women
27.03.26	Santos - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ferroviária - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	São Paulo - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Ferroviária - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Ferroviária	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTWWL
- Cruzeiro MG Women
Brasileiro Women
26.03.26	Cruzeiro - Fluminense	3:2 ✺
20.03.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	3:1 ✺
23.02.26	Cruzeiro - Santos	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Bahia - Cruzeiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
17.05.25	Cruzeiro - Ferroviária	3:1
29.03.24	Ferroviária - Cruzeiro	1:0
05.06.23	Cruzeiro - Ferroviária	1:1
24.04.22	Ferroviária - Cruzeiro	0:1
22.05.21	Ferroviária - Cruzeiro	3:1
23.09.20	Cruzeiro - Ferroviária	0:1

Ferroviária - Cruzeiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide