Match Info

Paulista Women - Round 1

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena Fonte Luminosa (Araraquara)


	Ferroviária		Santos

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	4.55
	1.57	3.84	4.59
	1.61	3.86	4.66	Watch
	1.62	3.5	4.6
	1.59	3.82	4.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.85)	3.72 ↑ (3.3)	4.63 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
56.3%

Draw
24.2%

Santos
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.8%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

27.1%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviária's performance.

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviária that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Ferroviária - Santos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Thayslane ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Micaelly ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Analuyza ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Ferroviária is a strong favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ferroviaria W	7	5	1	1	15:5	10	16
5	Santos W	7	2	3	2	6:6	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviária Women
Brasileiro Women
01.05.26	Ferroviária - Mixto	3:0 ✺
24.04.26	Corinthians - Ferroviária	3:1 ✺
20.04.26	Ferroviária - América Mineiro	4:1 ✺
30.03.26	Ferroviária - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Santos - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWTT
- Santos FC Women
Brasileiro Women
01.05.26	Santos - Internacional	0:3 ✺
27.04.26	Palmeiras - Santos	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Santos - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Santos	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Santos - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
27.03.26	Santos - Ferroviária	1:1
Brazilian Paulista Women
28.09.25	Santos - Ferroviária	1:2
05.06.25	Ferroviária - Santos	1:1
14.08.24	Ferroviária - Santos	4:1
Brasileiro Women
15.06.24	Ferroviária - Santos	2:0
Club Friendly Women
08.12.23	Ferroviária - Santos	0:2
Brasileiro Women
12.03.23	Santos - Ferroviária	0:1

Ferroviária - Santos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide