Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ferroviária		Atlético Cearense

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.9	7.75
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.32	4.2	7.6
	1.32	4.36	8.1
	1.32	4.2	9
	1.32	4.65	8.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)	4.27 ↓ (4.32)	7.86 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
67.3%

Draw
21.2%

Atlético Cearense
11.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

18.8%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Atlético Cearense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviária that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Cearense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Ferroviária is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Atlético Cearense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferroviária could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferroviária is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferroviária won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie D
10.10.21	Atlético Cearense - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Ferroviária - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
18.09.21	Ferroviária - Brasiliense	1:0 ✺
12.09.21	Brasiliense - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTWWT
- Atlético Cearense
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
13.10.21	Jacuipense - Atlético Cearense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
10.10.21	Atlético Cearense - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Paragominas - Atlético Cearense	2:1 ✺
25.09.21	Atlético Cearense - Paragominas	2:0 ✺
18.09.21	Juazeirense - Atlético Cearense	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.10.21	Atlético Cearense - Ferroviária	1:1

Ferroviária - Atlético Cearense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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