Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Fonte Luminosa (Araraquara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	TV Globo Internacional


	Ferroviária		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.10	3.60
	1.95	3.05	3.55
	1.93	3.38	4.01
	1.99	3.27	3.84	Watch
	1.98	3.15	3.65
	2.05	3.25	3.67
	1.98	3.15	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.96)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
46.6%

Draw
28.7%

Flamengo
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

28.6%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Ferroviária - Flamengo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luciana (G) 74. Andressa Pereira 60. Brenda Pinheiro 20. Camila 16. Dos Santos 25. Fatima Dutra 13. Grazy 2. Kati 8. Maressa 5. Nicoly (C) 23. Thayslane	1. Vivi Holzel (G) 11. Cristiane 8. Djeni (C) 7. Fabi Simoes 22. Fernanda 16. Flavia Mota 81. Jucinara 28. Ju Ferreira 10. Mariana 2. Monalisa 3. Nubia
Substitutes
12. Amanda Coimbra (G) 24. Benitez Cabrera D. E. 17. Julia Beatriz 4. Luana 26. Maria Fernanda 10. Micaelly 3. Monique 88. Nana 32. Pyetra 19. Rhaissa 9. Vendito	34. Ana Laura 35. Anna Luiza 25. Bibi (G) 79. Condorelli I. 31. Laysa 19. Layza 88. Leticia 17. Maisa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Fabi Simoes ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Thayslane ⚽,
21', 2 - 1, Dos Santos ⚽,
31', 2 - 2, Jucinara ⚽,
42', da Silva F. 🟨,
45+3', Monalisa 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Brenda Pinheiro ↓, Micaelly ↑,
63', Thayslane ↓, Rhaissa ↑,
79', 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 1.

Ferroviária has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Flamengo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ferroviária could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviária Women
Brasileiro Women
29.08.26	Flamengo - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
26.08.26	Ferroviária - São Paulo	3:0 ✺
Brasileiro Women
22.08.26	Ferroviária - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Internacional - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
12.08.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTWT
- Flamengo Women
Brasileiro Women
29.08.26	Flamengo - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	4:1 ✺
16.08.26	Santos - Flamengo	2:3 ✺
10.08.26	América Mineiro - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
03.08.26	Flamengo - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
29.08.26	Flamengo - Ferroviária	1:0
11.05.26	Flamengo - Ferroviária	1:1
04.05.25	Ferroviária - Flamengo	1:2
21.08.24	Flamengo - Ferroviária	1:0
Supercopa do Brasil Women
11.02.24	Flamengo - Ferroviária	0:1 penalties
Club Friendly Women
04.12.23	Ferroviária - Flamengo	1:3
Brasileiro Women
07.05.23	Ferroviária - Flamengo	1:2

Ferroviária - Flamengo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide