Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 3

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:


	Ferrymead Bays		Miramar Rangers

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Ferrymead Bays
35.6%

Draw
24%

Miramar Rangers
40.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43%

21.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrymead Bays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrymead Bays's form might have worsened.

Miramar Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miramar Rangers's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrymead Bays
New Zealand National League
02.10.26	Wellington Olympic - Ferrymead Bays	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Ferrymead Bays - Eastern Suburbs	0:0 ✺
New Zealand Chatham Cup
05.07.24	Ferrymead Bays - Coastal Spirit	3:5 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTL
- Miramar Rangers
New Zealand National League
02.10.26	Miramar Rangers - Auckland FC 2	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Napier City Rovers - Miramar Rangers	1:1 ✺
New Zealand Chatham Cup
25.07.26	Cashmere Technical - Miramar Rangers	2:1 ✺
03.07.26	Island Bay United - Miramar Rangers	1:3 ✺
New Zealand National League
05.12.25	Wellington Olympic - Miramar Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLWL

Ferrymead Bays - Miramar Rangers