Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday


	Feucht		Gebenbach

	1	X	2
	8	6	1.25
	7.94	5.91	1.26
	7.94	5.91	1.27
	8.85	5.98	1.25
	8	6	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.15 ↑ (6.38)	5.96 ↑ (5.21)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feucht
11.3%

Draw
15.4%

Gebenbach
73.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

17.8%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

17%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feucht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Gebenbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gebenbach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feucht than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gebenbach than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gebenbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Becker N. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Terakaj E. ⚽,
29', 0 - 3, Spath D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
68', 0 - 4, Haller D. ⚽,
76', 0 - 5, Haller D. ⚽,
79', 0 - 6, Golla J. ⚽,
87', 0 - 7, Schwindl J. ⚽,
90', 0 - 8, Marquez Kevin ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation).

Feucht has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gebenbach is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Gebenbach is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Feucht won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Feucht won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. SC Feucht
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
05.04.24	Eichstätt - Feucht	4:0 ✺
30.03.24	Feucht - Ingolstadt II	3:4 ✺
22.03.24	Kornburg - Feucht	6:1 ✺
19.03.24	Feucht - Bayern Hof	2:3 ✺
15.03.24	Feucht - Cham	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- DJK Gebenbach
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
06.04.24	Gebenbach - DJK Ammerthal	2:3 ✺
30.03.24	Eltersdorf - Gebenbach	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Gebenbach - Neudrossenfeld	5:0 ✺
16.03.24	Würzburger FV - Gebenbach	2:4 ✺
12.03.24	ATSV Erlangen - Gebenbach	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
22.09.23	Gebenbach - Feucht	1:2
22.04.23	Gebenbach - Feucht	1:1
28.09.22	Feucht - Gebenbach	0:2
16.11.21	Feucht - Gebenbach	2:2
28.07.21	Gebenbach - Feucht	4:1

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