Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN NORD - ROUND 20

Date: 18 November 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Feucht		Geesdorf

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.75	10
	1.23	5.4	7
	1.22	5.6	7.6
	1.32	6.6	6.3
	1.23	5.5	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.34)	5.77 ↑ (5)	7.86 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feucht
72.8%

Draw
15.7%

Geesdorf
11.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

11.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feucht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Feucht's performance.

Geesdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feucht than the current prediction. (-31.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Feucht that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geesdorf than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geesdorf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Feucht - Geesdorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Feucht will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Geesdorf will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feucht: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Feucht is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Geesdorf has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Feucht could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Feucht is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Feucht won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. SC Feucht
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
04.11.22	Feucht - Eltersdorf	1:2 ✺
28.10.22	Feucht - Donaustauf	0:4 ✺
22.10.22	Cham - Feucht	3:0 ✺
14.10.22	Feucht - Weiden	4:2 ✺
07.10.22	DJK Ammerthal - Feucht	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWT
- FC Geesdorf
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
12.11.22	Geesdorf - Abtswind	0:4 ✺
05.11.22	Bayern Hof - Geesdorf	4:0 ✺
30.10.22	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - Geesdorf	5:0 ✺
22.10.22	Geesdorf - ATSV Erlangen	0:5 ✺
15.10.22	Eintracht Bamberg - Geesdorf	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
23.07.22	Geesdorf - Feucht	2:4

Feucht - Geesdorf