Match Info

Date: 27 February 2022, Sunday


	Figueres		Girona B

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.8	2.05
	3.6	2.7	2.08
	3.65	2.75	2.11
	3.86	2.7	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↓ (3.68)	2.74 ↑ (2.72)	2.1 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueres
24.6%

Draw
32.8%

Girona B
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

33%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

25%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Girona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueres than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Figueres that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona B than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Girona B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Figueres has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Girona B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Girona B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Girona B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Figueres won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Figueres
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
20.02.22	Manresa - Figueres	1:0 ✺
16.02.22	Figueres - Olot	0:1 ✺
06.02.22	Figueres - Vilafranca	0:0 ✺
30.01.22	Castelldefels - Figueres	1:0 ✺
16.01.22	Vilassar de Mar - Figueres	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL
- Girona B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
16.02.22	Sant Andreu - Girona B	2:3 ✺
13.02.22	Castelldefels - Girona B	1:3 ✺
06.02.22	Girona B - Olot	0:1 ✺
30.01.22	Vilassar de Mar - Girona B	1:0 ✺
23.01.22	Girona B - UE Sants	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
24.10.21	Girona B - Figueres	0:1

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