Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League C - Round 2

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Helsinki Olympic Stadium (Helsinki) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	20:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	02:00	beIN Connect
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	20:00	CBC Sport
Belarus	19:00	Sport TV
Bolivia	12:00	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	19:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	11:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	18:00	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 2
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:00	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	11:00	ESPN 2
Estonia	19:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	19:00	YLE TV2
Germany	18:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:00	Nova Sports Extra 1
Iceland	16:00	Viaplay
India	21:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	23:00	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI, RCTI+
Israel	19:00	Sport 2
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	19:00	Gotv
Lithuania	19:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	10:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	17:00	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	18:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	21:00	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	02:00	TVWan Sports
Paraguay	12:00	ESPN 2
Peru	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	18:00	Polsat Sport 1
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2
Russia	19:00	Okko Prime, Okko Sport
Slovenia	18:00	SportKlub 3
South Africa	18:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	01:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Finland		Belarus

	1	X	2
	1.48	4	6.5
	1.47	4.10	6.00
	1.5	3.6	6.8
	1.53	4.19	7.25
	1.59	3.78	6.10	Watch
	1.51	4.15	6.95
	1.52	4.1	6.67	Watch
	1.5	4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.9)	3.99 ↑ (3.35)	6.61 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finland
62.2%

Draw
23.6%

Belarus
14.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

28.5%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Finland's performance.

Belarus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belarus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.1%	3.6%	5.4%

Finland - Belarus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Finland (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Finland will win (51 of 56 users predict this - 91.07%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.6% – 98.54%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Finland will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Finland (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hradecky L. (C) Monaco 3. Stahl A. Djurgarden 4. Miettinen T. Mjallby 21. Koski V. Alaves 13. Lahteenmaki J. Nordsjaelland 6. Kamara G. QPR 11. Markhiev A. Nurnberg 14. Kairinen K. AEK 18. Keskinen T. Odense 20. Pohjanpalo J. Palermo 10. Walta L. Los Angeles FC	21. Lapoukhov F. (G) CSKA Sofia 5. Kalinin V. Din. Minsk 20. Volkov Z. (C) ML Vitebsk 13. Gomanov K. ML Vitebsk 2. Pechenin K. Krylya Sovetov Samara 19. Lukashov A. Orenburg 8. Selyava A. Din. Minsk 9. Ebong M. CSKA Sofia 7. Shumansky A. Akron Togliatti 11. Barkovskiy G. Polonia Warszawa 17. Lisakovich V. Tobol
Substitutes
23. Bergstrom L. (G) Mallorca 22. Hakans D. Lech Poznan 19. Kallman B. Hannover 8. Lod R. Chicago Fire 17. Mahuta R. FK Pardubice 5. Miettinen S. Istra 1961 2. Peltola M. DC United 12. Sinisalo V. (G) Celtic 16. Suhonen A. Odense 9. Svanback A. Hacken 7. Vaananen S. Karlsruher 15. Vaisanen L. Hacken	6. Begunov R. Din. Minsk 4. Bocherov V. ML Vitebsk 22. Galyata D. Aris Limassol 10. Gromyko V. ML Vitebsk 16. Kovalev A. Fakel Voronezh 12. Kudravets A. (G) Din. Minsk 23. Melnichenko T. FC Porto 15. Parkhomenko E. Torpedo Moscow 1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) ML Vitebsk 18. Simanenka T. FC Gomel 3. Svirepa A. Isloch Minsk 14. Yablonskiy E. Asteras Tripolis
Coaches
Friis J.	Gancharenko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kamara G. ↓, Hakans D. ↑,
59', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Kallman B. ↑,
61', Shumansky A. ↓, Kovalev A. ↑,
61', Barkovskiy G. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
61', Shumansky A. 🟨,
62', Lisakovich V. ↓, Gromyko V. ↑,
66', Walta L. ↓, Suhonen A. ↑,
66', Markhiev A. ↓, Vaananen S. ↑,
71', Lukashov A. 🟨,
73', Kairinen K. 🟨,
86', Stahl A. 🟨,
87', Selyava A. ↓, Yablonskiy E. ↑,
88', Keskinen T. ↓, Svanback A. ↑,

Preview

Finland is ranked FIFA: 75., and Belarus is ranked FIFA: 96..

Bookmakers give the edge to Finland for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Finland has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 1.3:0.3 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finland
UEFA Nations League
26.09.26	San Marino - Finland	0:7 ✺
Friendly
05.06.26	Hungary - Finland	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Germany - Finland	4:0 ✺
FIFA Series
29.03.26	Cape Verde - Finland	2:1 penalties ✺
27.03.26	New Zealand - Finland	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW
- Belarus
UEFA Nations League
26.09.26	Albania - Belarus	2:0 ✺
Friendly
09.06.26	Belarus - Burkina Faso	2:2 ✺
05.06.26	Belarus - Syria	4:1 ✺
29.03.26	Armenia - Belarus	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Cyprus - Belarus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
09.06.18	Finland - Belarus	2:0
FIFA World Cup
11.06.13	Belarus - Finland	1:1
07.06.13	Finland - Belarus	1:0

Finland - Belarus