Match Info

Date: 12 September 2021, Sunday


	Finnsnes		Ullern

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.25	1.31
	5.8	4.9	1.3
	6.4	4.9	1.3
	7.08	5.26	1.37
	6.6	5.7	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.48 ↑ (5.57)	5.2 ↑ (4.78)	1.32 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finnsnes
14%

Draw
17.4%

Ullern
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

18.9%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

16%

76.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finnsnes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Ullern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finnsnes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ullern than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ullern could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Finnsnes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ullern is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Finnsnes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ullern have a series of home games.

In this match Ullern is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Finnsnes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Finnsnes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finnsnes IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
05.09.21	Sri Lanka Air Force - Finnsnes	3:1 ✺
29.08.21	Finnsnes - Nordstrand	2:0 ✺
22.08.21	Melbo - Finnsnes	3:2 ✺
14.08.21	Finnsnes - Rana	2:5 ✺
08.08.21	Mjølner - Finnsnes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLLL
- Ullern IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
04.09.21	Ullern - Stabæk 2	2:1 ✺
29.08.21	Ullern - Bodø Glimt 2	2:1 ✺
21.08.21	Nordstrand - Ullern	0:4 ✺
15.08.21	Ullern - Skjervøy	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.08.21	Ullern - Vålerenga	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
18.09.16	Finnsnes - Ullern	2:0
29.05.16	Ullern - Finnsnes	1:2

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