Match Info

Date: 12 September 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Finnsnes		Ullern

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Finnsnes
14%

Draw
17.4%

Ullern
68.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.2%

18.9%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

16%

76.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finnsnes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Ullern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finnsnes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ullern than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ullern could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Finnsnes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ullern is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Finnsnes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ullern have a series of home games.

In this match Ullern is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Finnsnes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Finnsnes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finnsnes IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
05.09.21	Sri Lanka Air Force - Finnsnes	3:1 ✺
29.08.21	Finnsnes - Nordstrand	2:0 ✺
22.08.21	Melbo - Finnsnes	3:2 ✺
14.08.21	Finnsnes - Rana	2:5 ✺
08.08.21	Mjølner - Finnsnes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLLL
- Ullern IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
04.09.21	Ullern - Stabæk 2	2:1 ✺
29.08.21	Ullern - Bodø Glimt 2	2:1 ✺
21.08.21	Nordstrand - Ullern	0:4 ✺
15.08.21	Ullern - Skjervøy	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.08.21	Ullern - Vålerenga	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWL

Finnsnes - Ullern