Match Info

ITALY: PRIMAVERA 1 - ROUND 7

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Fiorentina U19		Lazio U19

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	2.9
	2.04	3.9	3.15
	2.05	3.9	3.15
	2.04	3.46	3.1
	2.02	3.65	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.4)	3.68 ↑ (3.6)	3.06 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina U19
45.2%

Draw
24.9%

Lazio U19
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

25.3%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina U19's performance.

Lazio U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lazio U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina U19 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio U19 than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lazio U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fiorentina U19 - Lazio U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tognetti L. (G) 15. Sadotti E. 5. Biagetti C. 18. Romani L. 77. Padilla M. W. 44. Harder J. 10. Denes A. 27. Pierozzi N. 24. Braschi R. 73. Amatucci L. 19. Rubino T.	1. Magro F. (G) 5. Bedini F. 15. Dutu M. 13. Ruggeri F. 2. Bordon F. 3. Milani A. 8. Di Tommaso L. 10. Napolitano L. 14. Yordanov D. 7. Fernandes S. 20. Gonzalez D.
Substitutes
36. Caprini M. 25. Elia M. 14. Gudelevicius E. . Guidobaldi F. . Leonardelli P. (G) 23. Maggini F. 32. Mignani C. 3. Scuderi G. 9. Sene F. 11. Spaggiari R. 8. Vitolo F.	27. Cappelli T. 11. D’Agostini L. 23. Marini M. 30. Nazzaro M. 6. Petta A. 22. Renzetti D. (G) 17. Serra F. 19. Sulejmani F. 18. Tredicine M. 29. Zazza M.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina U19 won 2.

Recent matches Fiorentina U19 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lazio U19 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fiorentina U19 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Fiorentina U19 won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina U19 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina U19
Italian Primavera 1
07.10.23	Frosinone U19 - Fiorentina U19	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Fiorentina U19 - Milan U19	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Cagliari U19 - Fiorentina U19	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Inter U19 - Fiorentina U19	3:1 ✺
03.09.23	Fiorentina U19 - Genoa U19	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLLT
- Lazio U19
Italian Primavera 1
08.10.23	Lazio U19 - Juventus U19	0:0 ✺
UEFA Youth League
04.10.23	Celtic U19 - Lazio U19	1:1 ✺
Italian Primavera 1
30.09.23	Genoa U19 - Lazio U19	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
26.09.23	Lazio U19 - Cosenza U19	2:0 ✺
Italian Primavera 1
23.09.23	Lazio U19 - Sassuolo U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
03.05.21	Lazio U19 - Fiorentina U19	5:0
Coppa Italia Primavera
28.04.21	Fiorentina U19 - Lazio U19	2:1
Italian Primavera 1
30.10.20	Fiorentina U19 - Lazio U19	1:3
21.12.19	Lazio U19 - Fiorentina U19	2:1
10.02.18	Lazio U19 - Fiorentina U19	1:2
29.09.17	Fiorentina U19 - Lazio U19	3:1
Italian Primavera - Group A
01.04.17	Fiorentina U19 - Lazio U19	5:2

Fiorentina U19 - Lazio U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide