Match Info

ITALY: Primavera 1 - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday


	Fiorentina U19		Sampdoria U19

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.72	4.18	4.07
	1.72	4.19	4.07
	1.73	3.83	4.11
	1.7	3.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.97)	3.92 ↑ (3.82)	4.09 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina U19
54%

Draw
23.5%

Sampdoria U19
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

24.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

23.4%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina U19's performance.

Sampdoria U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampdoria U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina U19 than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria U19 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampdoria U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fiorentina U19 - Sampdoria U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Leonardelli P. (G) 2. Vigiani L. 5. Biagetti C. 4. Baroncelli L. 26. Kouadio E. 54. Fortini N. 33. Ievoli M. 19. Rubino T. 44. Harder J. 52. Sene F. 36. Caprini M.	23. Gentile G. (G) 26. D'amore F. 31. Langella M. 15. Lotjonen A. 49. Zeqiraj L. 34. Chilafi A. 5. Uberti N. 4. Valisena N. 8. Conti F. 10. Leonardi S. 22. Alesi G.
Substitutes
24. Braschi R. 12. Caroti F. (G) 10. Denes A. 14. Gudelevicius E. 23. Maggini F. 32. Mignani C. 7. Presta F. 17. Romani L. 3. Scuderi G. 11. Spaggiari R. 8. Vitolo F.	33. Chiesa L. 30. Genovese M. 27. Georgiadis C. 43. Lukisa S. 13. Malanca L. . Marchese C. 37. Ovalle Santos A. . Polli L. . Pozzato S. 24. Rodolfo L. (G) 32. Thiago

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Vigiani L. 🟨,
26', Leonardelli P. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Leonardi S. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Baroncelli L. ↓, Romani L. ↑,
46', Vigiani L. ↓, Presta F. ↑,
49', Alesi G. 🟨,
51', D'amore F. 🟨,
63', Alesi G. ↓, Chiesa L. ↑,
63', Kouadio E. ↓, Maggini F. ↑,
67', Ievoli M. ↓, Gudelevicius E. ↑,
74', Valisena N. ↓, Genovese M. ↑,
74', Chilafi A. ↓, Marchese C. ↑,
74', Leonardi S. ↓, Lukisa S. ↑,
80', Langella M. 🟨,
81', Marchese C. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Presta F. ⚽,
84', Chiesa L. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Rubino T. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Uberti N. ⚽,
90', Harder J. ↓, Vitolo F. ↑,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina U19 won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Fiorentina U19 is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Fiorentina U19 won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina U19 won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina U19
Italian Primavera 1
12.05.24	Sassuolo U19 - Fiorentina U19	3:1 ✺
05.05.24	Fiorentina U19 - Cagliari U19	1:2 ✺
26.04.24	Fiorentina U19 - Inter U19	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Genoa U19 - Fiorentina U19	3:2 ✺
14.04.24	Fiorentina U19 - Torino U19	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Sampdoria U19
Italian Primavera 1
11.05.24	Sampdoria U19 - Empoli U19	1:2 ✺
06.05.24	Torino U19 - Sampdoria U19	0:1 ✺
29.04.24	Sampdoria U19 - Roma U19	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Lecce U19 - Sampdoria U19	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Sampdoria U19 - Bologna U19	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
10.12.23	Sampdoria U19 - Fiorentina U19	1:4
22.05.23	Sampdoria U19 - Fiorentina U19	1:2
29.01.23	Fiorentina U19 - Sampdoria U19	0:1
09.05.22	Fiorentina U19 - Sampdoria U19	1:2
01.02.22	Sampdoria U19 - Fiorentina U19	4:1
12.06.21	Fiorentina U19 - Sampdoria U19	1:1
09.03.21	Sampdoria U19 - Fiorentina U19	4:2

Fiorentina U19 - Sampdoria U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide