The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fiorenzuola 12.6%
Draw 22.7%
Piacenza 64.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
16.2%
27.9%
55.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.6%
26.9%
57.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Piacenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Piacenza's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Piacenza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fiorenzuola - Piacenza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group B Playoffs).
Recent results have been tough for Fiorenzuola (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Piacenza is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Piacenza may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Piacenza is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Fiorenzuola has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.5:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fiorenzuola against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:4 goals (averaging 0.5:2 per game).
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