Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 17

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luso Brasileiro (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Flamengo		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.40	7.25
	1.32	4.3	7.4
	1.35	4.86	8.18
	1.36	4.7	8.14	Watch
	1.34	4.55	8.05
	1.37	4.79	7.75
	1.33	4.6	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.42)	4.6 ↑ (4.1)	7.74 ↑ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
68.2%

Draw
19.9%

Atlético Mineiro
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

22.2%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

21.7%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2%)

Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vivi Holzel (G) 11. Cristiane 8. Djeni (C) 22. Fernanda 16. Flavia Mota 81. Jucinara 28. Ju Ferreira 20. Kaylane 10. Mariana 2. Monalisa 3. Nubia	1. Maike (G) 9. Anny Maraba 14. Barbara Melo 25. Barraca 6. Diovanna 10. Isadora Freitas 24. Karen 13. Lari Danielle 8. Laura Maria 55. Pimenta 27. Thalita
Substitutes
34. Ana Laura 35. Anna Luiza 25. Bibi (G) 29. Brendha 13. Bruna Santos 99. Costa Garrit N. 44. Couto Sofia 27. do Nascimento Souza E. L. 7. Fabi Simoes 31. Laysa 19. Layza 17. Maisa	17. Amalia 12. Iasmin Paixao (G) 5. Ju Pacheco 28. Kaiuska 4. Karen Bender 20. Lari Sanchez 15. Marta Edyth 18. Ramos C. 26. Tay Belarmino

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Djeni ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Djeni ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Kaylane ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Isadora Freitas ↓, Ju Pacheco ↑,
46', Laura Maria ↓, Amalia ↑,
46', Mariana ↓, Laysa ↑,
46', Kaylane ↓, Fabi Simoes ↑,
64', Jucinara ↓, Maisa ↑,
64', Monalisa ↓, Layza ↑,
71', Amalia 🟨,
72', 4 - 0, Fernanda ⚽,
73', Fernanda ↓, Anna Luiza ↑,
81', Karen 🟨,
82', Pimenta ↓, Marta Edyth ↑,
82', Lari Danielle ↓, Lari Sanchez ↑,
82', Barbara Melo ↓, Tay Belarmino ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Ju Pacheco ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Atlético MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Flamengo is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Flamengo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo Women
Brasileiro Women
16.08.26	Santos - Flamengo	2:3 ✺
10.08.26	América Mineiro - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
03.08.26	Flamengo - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Flamengo - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
20.07.26	Flamengo - 3B da Amazônia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLTW
- Atlético Mineiro Women
Brasileiro Women
14.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Bahia	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Mixto - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
22.07.26	Atlético Mineiro - Atlético Piauiense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
29.03.24	Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo	2:3
17.03.23	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	1:0
20.06.22	Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo	0:1

Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide