Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luso Brasileiro (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV
World	TV Globo Internacional


	Flamengo		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.00	2.60
	2.55	3.15	2.55
	2.58	3.05	2.81
	2.59	3.06	2.8	Watch
	2.55	2.90	2.80
	2.66	3.14	2.66
	2.55	3.05	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.55)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	2.69 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
35.8%

Draw
30.1%

Ferroviária
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.8%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

29.5%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Flamengo - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vivi Holzel (G) 11. Cristiane 8. Djeni 22. Fernanda 16. Flavia Mota 81. Jucinara 20. Kaylane 88. Leticia 10. Mariana 2. Monalisa 3. Nubia	1. Luciana (G) 74. Andressa Pereira 20. Camila 16. Dos Santos 25. Fatima Dutra 13. Grazy 2. Kati 8. Maressa 11. Mariana Santos 5. Nicoly (C) 30. Sissi
Substitutes
34. Ana Laura 35. Anna Luiza 25. Bibi (G) 13. Bruna Santos 79. Condorelli I. 99. Costa Garrit N. 7. Fabi Simoes 28. Ju Ferreira 31. Laysa 19. Layza 17. Maisa	12. Amanda Coimbra (G) 24. Benitez Cabrera D. E. 60. Brenda Pinheiro 17. Julia Beatriz 4. Luana 10. Micaelly 3. Monique 88. Nana 19. Rhaissa 23. Thayslane 9. Vendito

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Mariana ⚽,
16', Mariana Santos ↓, Micaelly ↑,
26', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Leticia ↓, Ju Ferreira ↑,
65', Dos Santos ↓, Julia Beatriz ↑,
65', Sissi ↓, Thayslane ↑,
74', Flavia Mota ↓, Layza ↑,
75', Mariana ↓, Fabi Simoes ↑,
81', Micaelly ↓, Vendito ↑,
81', Fatima Dutra ↓, Nana ↑,
86', Djeni ↓, Anna Luiza ↑,
87', Nubia ↓, Maisa ↑,
90+3', Fernanda 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.

Flamengo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ferroviária has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo Women
Brasileiro Women
22.08.26	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	4:1 ✺
16.08.26	Santos - Flamengo	2:3 ✺
10.08.26	América Mineiro - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
03.08.26	Flamengo - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Flamengo - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTLT
- Ferroviária Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
26.08.26	Ferroviária - São Paulo	3:0 ✺
Brasileiro Women
22.08.26	Ferroviária - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Internacional - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
12.08.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Brasileiro Women
08.08.26	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
11.05.26	Flamengo - Ferroviária	1:1
04.05.25	Ferroviária - Flamengo	1:2
21.08.24	Flamengo - Ferroviária	1:0
Supercopa do Brasil Women
11.02.24	Flamengo - Ferroviária	0:1 penalties
Club Friendly Women
04.12.23	Ferroviária - Flamengo	1:3
Brasileiro Women
07.05.23	Ferroviária - Flamengo	1:2
Club Friendly Women
12.11.22	Ferroviária - Flamengo	0:1

Flamengo - Ferroviária: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide