The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flamurtari Vlorë 33%
Draw 32.5%
AF Elbasani 34.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
29.5%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
28.4%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamurtari Vlorë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
AF Elbasani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AF Elbasani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamurtari Vlorë than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AF Elbasani than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AF Elbasani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Flamurtari Vlorë - AF Elbasani Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Aleksovski I. (G) 9. Bolzan A. 76. Maksuti E. 21. Marku H. 11. Mbe J. 70. Peralta Vernaza A. J. 27. Ramani H. 6. Squadrone L. 30. Todoroski T. 19. Trashi L. 18. Veiga E.
31. Janacek M. (G) 25. Azemovic E. 70. Boye I. 17. Ibrahim A. 18. Kasa A. 14. Lajthia X. 77. Lila B. 10. Loukili K. 20. Manellari I. 29. Musta E. 23. Ze Gomes
Substitutes
14. Ememe E. C. 23. Janku S. 1. Kaloshi A. (G) 82. Kasa R. 7. Leo Melo 66. Lushaj H. 22. Nunez C. 20. Oshafi A. 4. Raso M. 2. Urbaez J.
32. Belloj G. 41. Borici A. 27. Bunjaku F. 99. Delaj A. 11. Kasa K. 22. Lleshi A. 7. Nongoh S. 2. Olberkis S. 24. Orji K. 1. Totoshi K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Lajthia X. ⚽,
26', Lila B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Squadrone L. 🟨,
53', Musta E. 🟨,
54', Marku H. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Peralta Vernaza A. J. ↓, Ememe E. C. ↑,
60', Marku H. ↓, Leo Melo ↑,
60', Bolzan A. ↓, Lushaj H. ↑,
61', Boye I. ↓, Kasa K. ↑,
61', Loukili K. 🟨,
62', Ememe E. C. 🟨,
63', 0 - 2, Lajthia X. ⚽,
65', 1 - 2, Ramani H. ⚽,
69', Maksuti E. 🟨,
74', Janacek M. ↓, Totoshi K. ↑,
90+1', Leo Melo 🟨,
90+3', Todoroski T. ↓, Oshafi A. ↑,
90+6', Loukili K. ↓, Bunjaku F. ↑,
90+6', Lajthia X. ↓, Lleshi A. ↑,
90+6', Ze Gomes ↓, Olberkis S. ↑,
90+11', Mbe J. ↓, Kasa R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamurtari won 0.
Recent performances by Flamurtari have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
AF Elbasani is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
AF Elbasani may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
AF Elbasani could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Flamurtari won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Flamurtari won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).