Match Info

Date: 14 February 2021, Sunday


	Flat Earth		San Fernando de Henares

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.4
	1.7	3.1	4.25
	1.63	3.35	5
	1.62	3.46	5.3
	1.65	3.44	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.51)	3.37 ↓ (3.74)	4.84 ↓ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flat Earth
54.7%

Draw
26.7%

San Fernando de Henares
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

15.1%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flat Earth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

San Fernando de Henares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flat Earth than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flat Earth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando de Henares than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Fernando de Henares could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Flat Earth - San Fernando de Henares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 7 (Promotion Group) and 10 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 7 (Relegation Group)).

Flat Earth is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flat Earth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Flat Earth is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Flat Earth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Flat Earth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flat Earth FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.02.21	Flat Earth - Alcalá	1:0 ✺
03.02.21	Paracuellos Antamira - Flat Earth	0:2 ✺
31.01.21	Santa Ana - Flat Earth	0:1 ✺
24.01.21	Flat Earth - Torrejón	1:1 ✺
20.12.20	Flat Earth - Moratalaz	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWTL
- CD San Fernando de Henares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.02.21	Santa Ana - San Fernando de Henares	4:2 ✺
07.02.21	San Fernando de Henares - Moratalaz	0:0 ✺
03.02.21	Pozuelo de Alarcón - San Fernando de Henares	2:0 ✺
31.01.21	Alcalá - San Fernando de Henares	0:1 ✺
24.01.21	San Fernando de Henares - Complutense Alcalá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
15.11.20	San Fernando de Henares - Flat Earth	0:1
08.03.20	San Fernando de Henares - Flat Earth	4:2
19.10.19	Flat Earth - San Fernando de Henares	1:3

Flat Earth - San Fernando de Henares: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide