Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Cemo Arena (Kristiansand)


	Flekkerøy		Jerv

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.8	1.68
	4.5	4.4	1.59
	4.51	4.51	1.58
	4.63	4.39	1.61	Watch
	4.91	3.94	1.56
	4.5	4.4	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (4.15)	4.24 ↓ (4.59)	1.6 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flekkerøy
20.6%

Draw
21.8%

Jerv
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

20.1%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

19%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flekkerøy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flekkerøy than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Flekkerøy - Jerv Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Flekkerøy (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flekkerøy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ostraat S. (G) 30. Brandal N. 3. Byklum H. 17. Fredriksen A. 8. Gamachis D. 4. Gravdahl J. 10. Haaland S. L. 6. Johnsen D. W. 11. Nahiry E. 7. Richardsen S. 2. Ronningen O.	31. Gulstorff Pedersen A. (G) 77. Alanko S. 4. Arrocha D. 25. Endresen A. 17. Furaha J. 8. Hellichius F. 16. Krogelien H. 19. Mafi I. 40. Osestad S. 18. Richstad A. 6. Wichmann M. (C)
Substitutes
25. Eftevaag L. 14. Henriksen W. 21. Kloster A. 1. Kristiansen M. (G) 5. Quranolli R. 13. Skeie P. 20. Sorum A. 9. Wahlstrom C.	23. Duesund E. 15. Gueye M. 7. Hauge R. 2. Karlsen S. 5. Lillehammer F. 99. Skiftenes A. (G) 21. Strangstad S. 54. Syvertsen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Nahiry E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Krogelien H. 🟨,
59', Alanko S. ↓, Hauge R. ↑,
59', Endresen A. ↓, Syvertsen P. ↑,
69', Mafi I. 🟨,
71', Fredriksen A. ↓, Quranolli R. ↑,
76', Haaland S. L. ↓, Kloster A. ↑,
76', Nahiry E. ↓, Wahlstrom C. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Furaha J. ⚽,
83', Byklum H. ↓, Eftevaag L. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Eftevaag L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flekkerøy won 1.

Flekkerøy is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Jerv has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Jerv is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Flekkerøy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 1.2:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Flekkerøy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flekkerøy
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
27.04.25	Sandviken - Flekkerøy	5:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Flekkerøy - Viking Stavanger	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
21.04.25	Flekkerøy - Eik-Tønsberg	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Sotra - Flekkerøy	6:1 ✺
29.03.25	Flekkerøy - Arendal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLT
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
27.04.25	Brattvåg - Jerv	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Jerv - Egersund	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
21.04.25	Jerv - Sandviken	1:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
12.04.25	Vindbjart - Jerv	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
05.04.25	Vard Haugesund - Jerv	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
24.08.24	Flekkerøy - Jerv	0:2
25.05.24	Jerv - Flekkerøy	2:1
Club Friendly
30.03.24	Jerv - Flekkerøy	2:2
04.02.23	Jerv - Flekkerøy	5:2
Norwegian NM Cup
01.08.21	Flekkerøy - Jerv	3:2 penalties
Club Friendly
19.02.21	Jerv - Flekkerøy	6:0
26.02.20	Flekkerøy - Jerv	2:4

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