The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fleury 91 43.8%
Draw 27.4%
Orleans 28.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
28.3%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
28.5%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleury 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Orleans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleury 91 than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Fleury 91 - Orleans Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Fleury will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Alette G. (G) 25. Jean-Pierre M. 4. Vogt Q. 26. Karamoko H. 2. Colombo F. 6. Lefebvre G. 8. Leleve R. (C) 22. Badin C. 10. Le Mehaute Y. 11. Rivas J. 19. Farade K.
1. Faham F. (G) 12. Guiheneuf M. 27. Lemaitre M. 5. Sylla M. (C) 7. Diako M. 29. Obiang J. 21. Raillot L. 25. Seydi I. 11. Berthier G. 23. Koembo J. 19. Legendre R.
Substitutes
15. Angong F. 9. Anne S. 14. Belliard M. 28. Homssa N. 20. Khetir C. 1. Petit A. (G) 7. Verdier Y.
8. Ba Abou 32. Boyele D. 20. Dali-Amar B. 10. Khous G. 40. Moussima S. (G) 35. Ngambi Bikoi C. 26. Ribeiro A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Faham F. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Diako M. ⚽, Berthier G. (A),
33', Rivas J. 🟨,
38', Badin C. 🟨,
45+3', Lefebvre G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rivas J. ↓, Anne S. ↑,
46', Badin C. ↓, Khetir C. ↑,
49', Jean-Pierre M. 🟨,
55', Raillot L. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Legendre R. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Le Mehaute Y. ↓, Belliard M. ↑,
68', Leleve R. ↓, Angong F. ↑,
68', Vogt Q. ↓, Verdier Y. ↑,
69', Berthier G. ↓, Ba Abou ↑,
78', Diako M. ↓, Khous G. ↑,
78', Obiang J. ↓, Boyele D. ↑,
82', Legendre R. ↓, Ribeiro A. ↑,
83', Seydi I. ↓, Dali-Amar B. ↑,
85', Ribeiro A. 🟨,
Preview
Recent form of Fleury-Merogis has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Orleans's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fleury-Merogis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Fleury-Merogis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Fleury 91
9
3
3
3
15:12
3
12
14
Orleans
9
2
3
4
7:11
-4
9
Last Results with these Odds
Orleans - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.68%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.