Match Info

NPL Western Australia - Round 8

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Litis Stadium (Leederville)


	Floreat Athena		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.7	2.15
	2.75	3.8	2.1	Watch
	2.73	4.17	2.14
	2.83	4.06	2.15	Watch
	2.8	3.62	2.15	Watch
	2.75	3.8	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (4.01)	3.86 ↑ (3.82)	2.13 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floreat Athena
33.2%

Draw
23.8%

Sorrento
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

23.8%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

22.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floreat Athena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Floreat Athena's performance.

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sorrento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floreat Athena than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Floreat Athena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sorrento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Floreat Athena - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Kilkenny N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ WA State League and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Floreat Athena won 3.

Floreat Athena has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Sorrento has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Floreat Athena has had a series of away games.

Sorrento will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Floreat Athena won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Floreat Athena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floreat Athena FC
Australian NPL Western Australia
10.05.25	Stirling Macedonia - Floreat Athena	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Floreat Athena - Fremantle City	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Perth SC - Floreat Athena	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Perth Glory U23 - Floreat Athena	4:0 ✺
29.03.25	Olympic Kingsway - Floreat Athena	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL
- Sorrento FC Perth
Australian NPL Western Australia
10.05.25	Balcatta - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Sorrento - Stirling Macedonia	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Fremantle City - Sorrento	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Sorrento - Perth SC	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Sorrento - Perth Glory U23	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Western Australia
15.07.23	Floreat Athena - Sorrento	2:1
13.05.23	Sorrento - Floreat Athena	3:1
13.08.22	Floreat Athena - Sorrento	3:1
21.05.22	Sorrento - Floreat Athena	1:3
28.08.21	Sorrento - Floreat Athena	1:0
08.05.21	Floreat Athena - Sorrento	2:2

Floreat Athena - Sorrento: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide