Match Info

BRAZIL: BRASILEIRO A2 WOMEN - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)


	Fluminense		Itacoatiara

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.6	4.33
	1.83	3.2	4.07
	1.62	3.92	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.17)	3.57 ↑ (3.4)	4.37 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
53.7%

Draw
25.5%

Itacoatiara
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

26.6%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.

Itacoatiara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Itacoatiara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itacoatiara than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Itacoatiara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

1st leg.

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Fluminense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

JC in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ Women
Brasileiro A2 Women
28.05.23	São José dos Campos - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
21.05.23	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	Fluminense - Minas BTC	1:1 ✺
29.04.23	Botafogo RJ - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Taubaté - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTTTT
- Itacoatiara FC Women
Brasileiro A2 Women
28.05.23	Itacoatiara - Sport Recife	4:0 ✺
22.05.23	Botafogo PB - Itacoatiara	0:2 ✺
14.05.23	Itacoatiara - 3B da Amazônia	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	ESMAC - Itacoatiara	0:4 ✺
30.04.23	Itacoatiara - Vila Nova	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Fluminense - Itacoatiara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide