Match Info
Brasileiro Women - Round 10Date: 9 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Luso Brasileiro (Rio de Janeiro)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping |
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Fluminense |
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Santos |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.95 |
3 |
3.7 |
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 |
1.97 |
3.19 |
3.95 |
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 |
2.01 |
3.11 |
3.99 |
Watch |
 |
1.95 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
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 |
1.99 |
3.25 |
3.87 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.97 ↓ (2.49) |
3.09 ↓ (3.16) |
3.82 ↑ (2.62) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Fluminense 46.4% | Draw 29.6% | Santos 24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Fluminense - Santos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
99. Kemelli (G) 26. Anny 33. Cotrim 15. Debora Sorriso 35. Driely 3. Gislaine (C) 11. Kamilla 8. Karina 20. Keke 21. Lele 10. Sochor
| 31. Taty Amaro (G) 4. Ana Alice 34. Bonifacio E. 9. Carol Baiana (C) 20. Eudimilla 97. Katrine 2. Larissa Vasconcelos 19. Larroquette M. 18. Leticia Santos 8. Pires S. 3. Rafa Martins
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| Substitutes |
30. Adrielly 7. Bruna Pele 13. Cacau 18. Camila Oliveira 17. Carioca 5. Claudinha 16. Colares B. 81. Duarte K. 12. Leticia Bussatto (G) 41. Louvain 4. Nath Rodrigues 6. Tata
| 17. Analuyza 22. Evellyn Marques 11. Laryh 35. Luiza M. 5. Nath Pitbull 33. Pardal 13. Samara Venceslau 1. Stefane (G) 25. Vivian
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Leticia Santos 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Larroquette M. ↓, Laryh ↑,
- 48', Gislaine 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 1, Bonifacio E. ⚽,
- 57', Debora Sorriso ↓, Carioca ↑,
- 58', Karina ↓, Claudinha ↑,
- 65', Eudimilla ↓, Analuyza ↑,
- 70', Gislaine ↓, Adrielly ↑,
- 71', Taty Amaro 🟨,
- 71', Pires S. ↓, Nath Pitbull ↑,
- 72', Larissa Vasconcelos ↓, Evellyn Marques ↑,
- 82', Carol Baiana ↓, Vivian ↑,
- 83', Driely ↓, Bruna Pele ↑,
- 83', Lele ↓, Duarte K. ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 2, Laryh ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).Recent performances by Fluminense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Santos is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Fluminense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Fluminense will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fluminense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;