Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: BGL Ligue - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Emile Mayrisch (Esch-sur-Alzette)


	Fola Esch		Bettembourg

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.3
	2.65	3.4	2.32
	2.92	3.54	2.17
	2.83	3.61	2.18	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.5
	2.89	3.52	2.13
	2.65	3.4	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.46)	3.43 ↓ (3.48)	2.27 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fola Esch
33.5%

Draw
26.5%

Bettembourg
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

24.9%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fola Esch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Bettembourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fola Esch than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bettembourg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Fola Esch - Bettembourg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cabral E. (C) 31. Amou L. 29. Bari M. 18. Caron G. 72. Ferreira A. 23. Freitas D. 28. Klein J. 19. Koussa M. 12. Neves E. 20. Pauly C. 17. Scholler A.	93. Bassene B. (G) 4. Baudry C. 17. Djetou H. 12. Gomes J. 7. Kehli N. 23. Merino J. 20. Paris B. 57. Romario 3. Silva D. (C) 88. Silva Moreira A. M. 25. Yala-Lusala B.
Substitutes
9. Diakhite P. 22. Guessan M. (G) 10. Kalici R. 3. Lahure R. 27. Marques D. 7. Mendes E. 24. Paulus F.	5. Ayena S. 22. Bonet D. 10. Costa da Silva R. 77. Couto R. 9. Gomes L. 8. Goncalves M. 82. Silvestre L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Romario ⚽, Merino J. (A),
29', Romario ↓, Goncalves M. ↑,
29', Cabral E. ↓, Guessan M. ↑,
31', Baudry C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Paris B. ↓, Bonet D. ↑,
63', Koussa M. ↓, Mendes E. ↑,
63', Caron G. ↓, Diakhite P. ↑,
73', Ferreira A. ↓, Paulus F. ↑,
73', Scholler A. ↓, Kalici R. ↑,
76', Kehli N. ↓, Couto R. ↑,
76', Yala-Lusala B. ↓, Gomes L. ↑,
84', Silva Moreira A. M. 🟨,
85', 0 - 2, Couto R. ⚽,
90+5', Bari M. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation)).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Bettembourg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fola Esch
Luxembourg National Division
24.11.24	Fola Esch - Mondercange	1:0 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
20.11.24	Fola Esch - Pétange	1:3 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
03.11.24	Swift Hesperange - Fola Esch	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Fola Esch - Pétange	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Fola Esch	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLTL
- SC Bettembourg
Luxembourg National Division
01.12.24	Bettembourg - UNA Strassen	0:4 ✺
23.11.24	Racing Luxembourg - Bettembourg	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Bettembourg - Wiltz 71	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Rodange - Bettembourg	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Bettembourg - Differdange 03	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

Fola Esch - Bettembourg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide