Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Foligno		Giulianova

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.10	3.65
	1.95	3.3	3.61	Watch
	1.92	3.20	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.92)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	3.63 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foligno
46.8%

Draw
28.2%

Giulianova
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.9%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

27.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Giulianova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulianova than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Foligno - Giulianova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 1)

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group F Playoffs and 14th).

Foligno has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Giulianova have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Foligno is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Foligno	9	5	1	3	11:10	1	16
8	Giulianova	9	4	1	4	12:11	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foligno
Italian Serie D - Group F
11.10.26	Maceratese - Foligno	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Foligno - Angelana	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Montecchio Gallo - Foligno	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Foligno - Notaresco	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Recanatese - Foligno	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTWL
- Real Giulianova
Italian Serie D - Group F
11.10.26	Giulianova - Ancona	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Santegidiese - Giulianova	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Giulianova - Atletico Ascoli	4:2 ✺
20.09.26	Teramo - Giulianova	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Vigor Senigallia - Giulianova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLL

Foligno - Giulianova