Match Info

Date: 16 May 2022, Monday


	Follo		Start 2

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	5.75
	1.47	4.2	4.5
	1.37	4.7	5.4
	1.35	4.75	6.27
	1.36	5.1	6.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.79)	4.7 ↑ (4.16)	5.65 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Follo
64.9%

Draw
19.1%

Start 2
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

21.5%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

21.9%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Follo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Follo's performance.

Start 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Start 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follo than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Follo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start 2 than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Start 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Follo - Start 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Follo will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Start 2 will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Follo: 4% – 71%.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).

Follo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Start 2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Start 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Follo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Follo
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
07.05.22	Randesund - Follo	1:1 ✺
30.04.22	Follo - Sarpsborg 2	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	Pors - Follo	2:3 ✺
16.04.22	Follo - Fram Larvik	0:2 ✺
09.04.22	IL Express - Follo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWLW
- IK Start 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
07.05.22	Start 2 - Eik-Tønsberg	0:3 ✺
02.05.22	Start 2 - Randesund	1:0 ✺
26.04.22	Vindbjart - Start 2	1:1 ✺
19.04.22	Start 2 - IL Express	6:0 ✺
12.04.22	Fram Larvik - Start 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTWL

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