The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Follo 54.3%
Draw 22.2%
Ullensaker Kisa 23.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.7%
19.7%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
17%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Follo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Ullensaker Kisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ullensaker Kisa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Follo - Ullensaker Kisa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ostbye E. (G) 7. Diallo H. 4. Hagen H. (C) 3. Jabari S. R. M. 27. Jorde J. 6. Lokaj F. 2. Maturire J. 21. Mulaj E. 15. Nysted A. 11. Skoglund N. 8. Tjostheim E.
31. Sveinhaug J. (G) 11. Barane S. 13. Bello Z. 4. Bjorkkjaer S. (C) 24. Bjornsengen E. 6. Boateng J. 8. Ignjic U. 21. Kjensteberg C. 19. Loulanti N. 7. Naustdal E. 5. Vestby E.
Substitutes
24. Folstad-Andersen L. 20. Furaha E. S. 26. Helling G. 13. Heredia-Randen S. (G) 25. Josefsson N. 30. Kjensli J. 5. Ludvigsen H. 16. Ozyilmaz N. F. 17. Rishaug O.
3. Bramsen E. 16. Braten M. 1. Christensen K. (G) 14. Empa A. 15. Issifou Lamkoudjo C. 26. Lyngstad D. 9. Sesay L. 20. Skarpsno K. 10. Solberg E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Skoglund N. 🟨,
12', Ignjic U. ↓, Bramsen E. ↑,
45+1', Barane S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
66', Nysted A. 🟨,
67', Bramsen E. 🟨,
68', Tjostheim E. ↓, Helling G. ↑,
70', Maturire J. 🟨,
75', Jabari S. R. M. 🟨,
76', Maturire J. ↓, Ozyilmaz N. F. ↑,
76', Diallo H. ↓, Furaha E. S. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Naustdal E. ⚽,
79', Lokaj F. ↓, Rishaug O. ↑,
85', Loulanti N. ↓, Sesay L. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Skoglund N. ⚽,
90+3', Naustdal E. ↓, Lyngstad D. ↑,
90+8', Ostbye E. 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 2, Barane S. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Follo won 2.
In recent matches, Follo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ull Kisa has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Ull Kisa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Follo might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Follo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.5:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Follo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 2.3:2.7).