Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 33

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Tullo Morgagni (Forli)


	Forlì		Correggese

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	1.98	3.18	3.42
	2.02	3.22	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.55)	3.17 ↓ (3.73)	3.49 ↓ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forlì
45.6%

Draw
28.5%

Correggese
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.2%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

20.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forlì's form might have worsened.

Correggese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Correggese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correggese than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forlì won 1.

Recent matches Forlì is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Correggese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Forlì will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Forlì won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Forlì won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forli FC
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.03.23	Real Forte Querceta - Forlì	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Forlì - Mezzolara	2:2 ✺
05.03.23	Cavenago Fanfulla - Forlì	0:3 ✺
26.02.23	Forlì - Pistoiese	2:3 ✺
19.02.23	Giana Erminio - Forlì	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWLT
- Correggese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.03.23	Correggese - Mezzolara	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	AC Carpi - Correggese	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Correggese - Prato	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Aglianese - Correggese	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Correggese - Crema	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
20.11.22	Correggese - Forlì	2:2
22.05.22	Correggese - Forlì	0:0
23.01.22	Forlì - Correggese	0:2
09.06.21	Correggese - Forlì	1:1
17.02.21	Forlì - Correggese	2:0
27.10.19	Correggese - Forlì	1:1
04.02.18	Correggese - Forlì	2:2

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