Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 15

Date: 24 June 2025, Tuesday


	Fortaleza U20		Atlético Mineiro U20

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.4
	1.9	3.59	3.82
				Watch
	1.84	3.55	3.65
	1.95	3.51	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.98)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)	3.43 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza U20
48%

Draw
25.6%

Atlético Mineiro U20
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

24.6%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

22.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Atlético Mineiro U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza U20 than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro U20 than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fortaleza U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Luquinhas ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Roco T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 3 - 0, Luquinhas ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Fortaleza U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético MG U20 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético MG U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fortaleza U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza U20
Brasileiro U20
18.06.25	Santos U20 - Fortaleza U20	4:0 ✺
10.06.25	Fortaleza U20 - Bahia U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Cearense U20
04.06.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza U20 - Fortaleza U20	2:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
29.05.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Fortaleza U20	3:2 ✺
21.05.25	Fortaleza U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTLT
- Atlético Mineiro U20
Brazilian Mineiro U20
21.06.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Futgol U20	1:3 ✺
Brasileiro U20
18.06.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:3 ✺
11.06.25	América MG U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Mineiro U20
07.06.25	Contagem U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	3:3 ✺
01.06.25	América MG U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
04.07.24	Fortaleza U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	4:1
29.07.22	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Fortaleza U20	2:1
19.09.21	Fortaleza U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	1:1

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