Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - DIVISION A SILVER - FALL SEASON - ROUND 11

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Forte Taganrog		Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	2.77	3.52	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.84)	3.52 ↓ (3.84)	2.19 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forte Taganrog
32.8%

Draw
25.8%

Novosibirsk
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forte Taganrog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forte Taganrog's performance.

Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Novosibirsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forte Taganrog than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forte Taganrog that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novosibirsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lukyanov V. (G) 88. Kartashov D. 6. Khalimbekov R. (C) 97. Kolmakov M. 19. Kositsin S. 7. Mashezov R. 22. Muromskiy N. 47. Nikolaev T. 26. Panchenko A. 10. Shihbabaev M. 11. Volodkin P.	35. Kiselev M. (G) 17. Bammatgereev M. 92. Khayrullov R. 44. Larents V. 21. Makurin A. 8. Maleev A. 24. Popov K. 10. Rozhkov N. 18. Shalaev O. 25. Solovyov A. 88. Tyurin V.
Substitutes
25. Chistyakov N. 77. Fedorov Z. 8. Korolkov K. 23. Lavrishchev D. 71. Mitsaev R. (G) 28. Mogilev E. 95. Musluev I. 14. Okhrimenko E. 5. Shvedyuk I. 9. Totskiy E.	70. Bakharev G. 67. Erokhin K. 5. Gladyshev A. 7. Komkov T. 23. Krotov A. 31. Polyanskiy D. (G) 87. Sergeev N. 9. Zhitnev M.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Forte Taganrog could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Forte Taganrog won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forte Taganrog
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
17.09.23	Salyut Belgorod - Forte Taganrog	0:4 ✺
Russian Cup
13.09.23	Forte Taganrog - Salyut Belgorod	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
09.09.23	Forte Taganrog - Avangard Kursk	0:1 ✺
01.09.23	Chertanovo - Forte Taganrog	5:0 ✺
27.08.23	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Forte Taganrog	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLL
- FC Novosibirsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
17.09.23	Novosibirsk - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	Amkar Perm - Novosibirsk	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Novosibirsk - Chelyabinsk	3:1 ✺
27.08.23	Novosibirsk - Chertanovo	3:1 ✺
Russian Cup
23.08.23	Dynamo Barnaul - Novosibirsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
29.07.23	Novosibirsk - Forte Taganrog	1:0

Forte Taganrog - Novosibirsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide