Match Info

BFL - Round 5

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Muktijuddho Sriti Stadium (Rajshahi)


	Fortis		Abahani Limited

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.15	3.05	2.12	Watch
	3.9	3.05	2.08
	3.52	3.32	1.99	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.1
	3.42	3.1	2.06
	3.6	3.2	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.57)	3.1 ↓ (3.14)	2.05 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortis
26.1%

Draw
29.3%

Abahani Limited
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortis's form might have worsened.

Abahani Limited has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Abahani Limited's recent form is better than expected.

Fortis - Abahani Limited Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perera S. (G) 2. Sajib K. (C) 5. Rahman M. 23. Das S. 44. Tamang A. 21. Sagor R. 6. Mona M. 4. Jallow E. 17. Nova M. 18. Nijum S. 19. Okafor O.	30. Marma M. (G) 2. Murad H. 5. Hossain S. 3. Islam K. 24. Bablu A. (C) 15. Tripura S. 23. Islam M. 8. Shah Quazem Kirmine S. 13. Singh P. 12. Islam E. 10. Diabate S.
Substitutes
16. Ali M. 30. Atick M. (G) 26. Fakir M. 28. Hossain R. 9. Hossain S. 27. Kumar J. 3. Marma Aky K. 15. Md Emon Babu Jibon 14. Mithu Chowdhury M. 25. Rabbani M. (G) 29. Rahman S. 11. Rony M. 7. Uddin B.	18. Ahmed S. 11. Al-Amin 26. Asadul Molla M. 27. Das T. 29. Fahim A. 28. Hossain I. 44. Hossain S. 21. Hossain Sayem S. 22. Hossen S. (G) 19. Ibrahim M. 4. Khan Y. 1. Pritom M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Islam E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Islam E. ↓, Al-Amin ↑,
58', Islam M. ↓, Ibrahim M. ↑,
76', Nova M. ↓, Rony M. ↑,
83', Nijum S. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
84', Islam K. ↓, Khan Y. ↑,
90', Shah Quazem Kirmine S. ↓, Hossain S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortis won 2.

Abahani Limited may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fortis won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortis FC
Bangladesh Federation Cup
02.12.25	Fortis - Mohammedan	1:1 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
28.11.25	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Fortis	0:1 ✺
24.11.25	Fortis - Bangladesh Police	0:0 ✺
20.10.25	Bashundhara Kings - Fortis	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Fortis - Mohammedan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWTLW
- Abahani Limited
Bangladesh BFL
28.11.25	Abahani Limited - Bangladesh Police	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	Mohammedan - Abahani Limited	3:2 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
24.10.25	Abahani Limited - Fakirerpool YMC	4:2 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
19.10.25	Abahani Limited - Brothers Union	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Rahmatganj - Abahani Limited	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Bangladesh BFL
17.05.25	Abahani Limited - Fortis	1:2
03.01.25	Fortis - Abahani Limited	0:0
Bangladesh Federation Cup
30.04.24	Fortis - Abahani Limited	1:3
Bangladesh BFL
05.04.24	Abahani Limited - Fortis	1:1
30.12.23	Fortis - Abahani Limited	1:0
07.04.23	Fortis - Abahani Limited	0:2

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