Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday


	Fortuna Köln		Rot-Weiß Oberhausen

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.6	2.58
	2.4	3.66	2.62
	2.27	3.55	2.58
	2.13	3.7	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.1)	3.63 ↓ (3.64)	2.64 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Köln
40.1%

Draw
25.3%

Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

25%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

24.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Rot-Weiß Oberhausen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Oberhausen than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Fortuna Köln - Rot Weiß Oberhausen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Thier N. ⚽,
19', Ngyombo M. 🟥,
23', Wirtz E. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 0, Statovci V. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
63', 3 - 0, Statovci V. ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, Demirarslan E. ⚽,
77', 4 - 1, Stanilewicz A. ⚽,
90+1', 5 - 1, Bornemann T. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Köln won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Köln won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Köln won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
09.08.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Fortuna Köln	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	Fortuna Köln - Bochum II	0:0 ✺
25.07.25	Wuppertal - Fortuna Köln	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Fortuna Köln - Köln	2:2 ✺
12.07.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Fortuna Köln	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 LTWTL
- Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
German Regionalliga West
10.08.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Bonner	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Gütersloh	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.25	TSV Havelse - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	Verl - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
04.04.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Fortuna Köln	2:0
12.10.24	Fortuna Köln - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	3:1
02.03.24	Fortuna Köln - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	2:1
16.09.23	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Fortuna Köln	0:0
05.04.23	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Fortuna Köln	1:2
18.09.22	Fortuna Köln - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:1
02.04.22	Fortuna Köln - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:1

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