Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Fortuna Köln		Köln II

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.15	4.55
	1.58	4.15	4.60	Watch
	1.61	3.9	4.55
	1.85	3.66	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.58)	3.97 ↓ (4.15)	4.36 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Köln
55.7%

Draw
23.2%

Köln II
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.1%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Köln II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (-2%)

Fortuna Köln - Köln II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Statovci V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 2 - 0, Al Ghaddioui H. ⚽,
59', 3 - 0, Wirtz E. ⚽,
65', 3 - 1, Adamyan S. ⚽,
85', Harchaoui F. 🟥,
90+4', 3 - 2, El Mala M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Köln won 2.

Fortuna Köln is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Köln II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Köln II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fortuna Köln is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Köln won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Köln won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:11. (average 2.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
17.10.25	Schalke 04 II - Fortuna Köln	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Fortuna Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Rödinghausen - Fortuna Köln	0:4 ✺
20.09.25	Fortuna Köln - Velbert	5:0 ✺
16.09.25	Fortuna Köln - Bocholt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTWWT
- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
18.10.25	Köln II - Bonner	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Köln II	3:3 ✺
27.09.25	Köln II - Gütersloh	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Köln II	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Köln II - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
09.02.25	Fortuna Köln - Köln II	3:3
18.08.24	Köln II - Fortuna Köln	1:2
01.12.23	Köln II - Fortuna Köln	3:3
01.08.23	Fortuna Köln - Köln II	5:1
06.05.23	Köln II - Fortuna Köln	3:1
10.11.22	Fortuna Köln - Köln II	2:2
23.04.22	Köln II - Fortuna Köln	2:2

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