Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Fortuna Köln		Siegen

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.05	4.95
	1.56	4.05	5.28
	1.53	4.19	5.18
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.51	3.9	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.57)	3.98 ↑ (3.96)	5.17 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Köln
59.4%

Draw
22.9%

Siegen
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.2%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

22.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Siegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siegen than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Fortuna Köln - Siegen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Goden K. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Wirtz E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, Al Ghaddioui H. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Fortuna Köln is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Köln won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 3.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Köln won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:2. (average 4.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Siegen	11	4	4	3	19:18	1	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
03.05.26	Paderborn II - Fortuna Köln	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Fortuna Köln - Wiedenbrück	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Köln II - Fortuna Köln	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Fortuna Köln - Schalke 04 II	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Borussia Dortmund II - Fortuna Köln	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLWL
- Sportfreunde Siegen
German Regionalliga West
02.05.26	Siegen - Bonner	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Wiedenbrück - Siegen	2:3 ✺
24.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Siegen	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Siegen - Gütersloh	5:0 ✺
11.04.26	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Siegen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
22.11.25	Siegen - Fortuna Köln	2:2
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Fortuna Köln - Siegen	9:1
German Regionalliga West
25.04.14	Fortuna Köln - Siegen	1:0
02.11.13	Siegen - Fortuna Köln	0:1
16.04.13	Fortuna Köln - Siegen	4:1

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