Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA WEST - ROUND 31

Date: 21 April 2023, Friday


	Fortuna Köln		Straelen

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.6	8.25
	1.3	4.8	7
	1.33	5.4	7.97
	1.31	4.9	9.3
	1.3	4.9	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)	4.92 ↑ (4.55)	8.22 ↓ (8.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Köln
70.2%

Draw
18.7%

Straelen
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

20.3%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

11.8%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Straelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (-30%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Köln that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Straelen than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Straelen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	25%	33.3%

Fortuna Köln - Straelen Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fortuna Köln will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Straelen will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Köln: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Fortuna Köln is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Straelen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Fortuna Köln have a series of guest games.

In this match Fortuna Köln is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna Köln won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Köln won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
15.04.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Fortuna Köln	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Fortuna Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	1:1 ✺
05.04.23	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Fortuna Köln	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Düren - Fortuna Köln	3:2 ✺
25.03.23	Rödinghausen - Fortuna Köln	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWLL
- SV Straelen
German Regionalliga West
15.04.23	Straelen - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Alemannia Aachen - Straelen	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Straelen - Bocholt	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Wiedenbrück - Straelen	3:2 ✺
11.03.23	Straelen - SG Wattenscheid	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
29.10.22	Straelen - Fortuna Köln	0:1
05.02.22	Straelen - Fortuna Köln	0:2
04.09.21	Fortuna Köln - Straelen	1:0
23.01.21	Straelen - Fortuna Köln	0:2
12.09.20	Fortuna Köln - Straelen	3:0

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