Match Info

BRAZIL: Potiguar - First stage - Round 6

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Força e Luz		Baraúnas

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.57
	4.68	3.66	1.57
				Watch
	4.86	3.9	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↑ (3.5)	3.77 ↑ (3.43)	1.57 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Força e Luz
18.9%

Draw
23.9%

Baraúnas
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

26.3%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

19.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Força e Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Força e Luz's form might have worsened.

Baraúnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baraúnas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Força e Luz than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Força e Luz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baraúnas than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baraúnas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Força e Luz - Baraúnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Relegation).

Força e Luz has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Baraúnas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Força e Luz have a series of guest games.

Baraúnas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Força e Luz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Força e Luz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Força e Luz
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
29.01.25	América RN - Força e Luz	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Força e Luz	5:1 ✺
18.01.25	Força e Luz - Potiguar	0:2 ✺
15.01.25	Laguna - Força e Luz	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Globo FC - Força e Luz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTL
- ACEC Baraúnas
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
29.01.25	Baraúnas - ABC	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Potiguar - Baraúnas	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Baraúnas - Globo FC	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Baraúnas	4:2 ✺
11.01.25	América RN - Baraúnas	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
10.01.24	Baraúnas - Força e Luz	2:0
21.03.18	Baraúnas - Força e Luz	0:1
19.02.18	Força e Luz - Baraúnas	3:1

Força e Luz - Baraúnas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide