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Current Win Probability
Fotbal Třinec 18.7%
Draw 22.9%
Karviná 58.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.7%
26%
52.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.3%
25.6%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fotbal Třinec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karviná's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fotbal Třinec than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karviná, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Fotbal Třinec - Karviná Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Murin R. (G) 14. Abdoulkarim M. 16. Agbo C. 9. Bolf J. 26. Cienciala L. 4. Helebrand M. 7. Nguyen A. 24. Omasta T. (C) 33. Sehic E. 2. Simersky D. 12. Zinhasovic N.
30. Lapes J. (G) 6. Breite R. 11. Cicovsky A. 31. Conde O. 25. Fleisman J. (C) 8. Kronus A. 19. Milic N. 29. Pira J. 10. Samko D. 7. Selnar J. 32. Yakubu S.
Substitutes
22. Adamuska J. (G) 20. Cerny M. 27. Dadak L. 25. Dedic R. 18. Demitra L. 21. Machuca O. 23. Mrozek O. (G) 17. Obuch M. 10. Samiec M. 15. Vlachovsky M.
24. Chytry J. 14. Hamza J. 93. Konate F. 5. Kone A. 3. Lawali Y. 21. Markovic A. 18. Misek S. 22. Rajtmajer L. 23. Schovanec O. (G) 34. Vodicka A. (G) 17. Yahaya M.
Coaches
Luhovy L.
West R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Selnar J. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Breite R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Agbo C. ↓, Samiec M. ↑,
46', Nguyen A. ↓, Dedic R. ↑,
52', Conde O. 🟥,
56', Kronus A. ↓, Chytry J. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Dedic R. ⚽,
65', Zinhasovic N. ↓, Machuca O. ↑,
68', Pira J. ↓, Konate F. ↑,
68', Samko D. ↓, Markovic A. ↑,
68', Breite R. ↓, Kone A. ↑,
69', Cienciala L. 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Dedic R. ⚽,
86', Cienciala L. ↓, Cerny M. ↑,
88', Abdoulkarim M. ↓, Dadak L. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Dadak L. ⚽,
89', Selnar J. ↓, Yahaya M. ↑,
90', Machuca O. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Karviná is considered a favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:28. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Třinec won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.5:2.3).