Match Info

3. MSFL - Round 10

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Stovky (Frydek-Mistek)


	Frýdek-Místek		Vitkovice

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.33	5
	1.44	4.45	5.3
	1.46	4.6	5.44
	1.23	6.42	8.43	Watch
	1.53	5.15	4.33
	1.42	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.9)	4.86 ↑ (4)	5.58 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Frýdek-Místek
64.6%

Draw
18.9%

Vitkovice
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

22.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

21.7%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frýdek-Místek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frýdek-Místek's performance.

Vitkovice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitkovice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frýdek-Místek than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frýdek-Místek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitkovice than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitkovice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Frýdek Místek - Vitkovice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tomek J. (G) 15. Bialek D. (C) 21. Foltyn M. 20. Gorcica A. 10. Heller J. 19. Hykel T. 8. Kedron D. 4. Massaniec J. 14. Nemec D. 13. Obuch M. 3. Sami F.	1. Keller T. (G) 10. Antonin A. 19. Dvoracek L. 12. Jonathan J. 11. Kuzmanovic N. 17. Okebugwu J. 2. Ouly M. 6. Pilar M. 20. Rehacek D. 7. Richtar M. (C) 18. Svrcek F.
Substitutes
17. Bielan M. 11. Kohut T. 7. Neumann M. 16. Pak V. 29. Strmiska O. (G) 6. Tomecek L. 2. Volny F.	33. Enebi M. 14. Maly M. 15. Michlik K. 13. Nieslanik D. 30. Pavlik T. (G) 5. Sindler M. 16. Tkacik J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Hykel T. ⚽,
32', Foltyn M. 🟨,
36', Okebugwu J. 🟨,
42', Pilar M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Hykel T. 🟨,
53', Obuch M. 🟨,
60', Pilar M. ↓, Nieslanik D. ↑,
60', Richtar M. ↓, Enebi M. ↑,
62', Heller J. ↓, Tomecek L. ↑,
73', Nemec D. ↓, Pak V. ↑,
73', Kedron D. ↓, Neumann M. ↑,
80', Gorcica A. ↓, Kohut T. ↑,
84', Rehacek D. ↓, Tkacik J. ↑,
84', Antonin A. ↓, Sindler M. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 5)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frýdek-Místek won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Vitkovice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Frýdek-Místek is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Frýdek-Místek won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:33. (average 1.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Frýdek-Místek won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Frýdek-Místek
Czech Cup
24.09.25	Frýdek-Místek - Pardubice	1:2 ET ✺
Czech MSFL
21.09.25	Uničov - Frýdek-Místek	4:3 ✺
10.09.25	Zlín B - Frýdek-Místek	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě - Frýdek-Místek	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Frýdek-Místek - Vsetín	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLW
- FK Vitkovice
Czech MSFL
27.09.25	Vitkovice - Uničov	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Polanka nad Odrou - Vitkovice	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Vitkovice - Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě	2:4 ✺
10.09.25	Start Brno - Vitkovice	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Vsetín - Vitkovice	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Cup
21.08.24	Vitkovice - Frýdek-Místek	2:0
Czech MSFL
27.05.23	Frýdek-Místek - Vitkovice	0:0
29.10.22	Vitkovice - Frýdek-Místek	2:3
Club Friendly
20.05.20	Vitkovice - Frýdek-Místek	8:1
25.01.20	Vitkovice - Frýdek-Místek	6:2
Czech Division 2
12.05.18	Frýdek-Místek - Vitkovice	2:2
27.10.17	Vitkovice - Frýdek-Místek	5:0

Frýdek-Místek - Vitkovice: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide