Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 4

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Location: Laugardalsvöllur (Reykjavík)

Referee: Jonasson H. M. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Fram		Afturelding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.7	3.9
	1.7	4.25	3.95	Watch
	1.86	4.45	3.7
	1.83	4.3	3.67	Watch
	1.75	3.8	3.7
	1.77	4.05	4.01	Watch
	1.7	4.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.71)	4.11 ↓ (4.68)	3.84 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fram
52.9%

Draw
22.7%

Afturelding
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

20.2%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

20.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fram has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fram than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Fram - Afturelding Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fram will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Afturelding (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Afturelding (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Afturelding (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Afturelding (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sigurdsson V. (G) 19. Chopart K. 5. McLagan K. 26. Runarsson S. 10. Fred Saraiva 8. Asgrimsson H. 23. Aegisson M. 12. Tibbling S. 16. Garcia I. 11. Thordarson M. 29. Dimitrijevic V.	1. Andresson J. (G) 25. Bjarnason G. 23. Palsson S. 3. Andresson A. 6. Saevarsson A. 16. Barkarson B. B. 30. Sigurjonsson O. 10. Cogic E. 7. Johannsson A. 77. Magnusson H. 11. Ragnarsson A.
Substitutes
32. Andrason H. 17. Arnarson A. 71. Elisson A. 6. Geirsson T. 36. Kjartansson T. (G) 30. Konradsson K. 7. Magnusson G. 25. Sigurdsson F. 3. Thorbjornsson T.	27. Cogic E. 22. Grondal R. 21. Hafthorsson T. G. 19. Hugason S. 12. Johannesson A. (G) 9. Jonasson A. 8. Jonsson A. 4. Runolfsson B. 2. Sigmarsson G.
Coaches
Kristinsson R.	Einarsson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Chopart K. ⚽, Dimitrijevic V. (A),
22', Chopart K. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, McLagan K. ⚽, Asgrimsson H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Andresson J. ↓, Johannesson A. ↑,
47', Palsson S. 🟨,
53', Andresson A. 🟨,
67', Palsson S. ↓, Jonsson A. ↑,
72', Thordarson M. ↓, Sigurdsson F. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Dimitrijevic V. ⚽, Sigurdsson V. (A),
79', Dimitrijevic V. ↓, Magnusson G. ↑,
79', Aegisson M. ↓, Konradsson K. ↑,
79', Garcia I. ↓, Thorbjornsson T. ↑,
80', Sigurjonsson O. ↓, Hugason S. ↑,
80', Ragnarsson A. ↓, Jonasson A. ↑,
80', Johannsson A. ↓, Hafthorsson T. G. ↑,
86', Fred Saraiva ↓, Geirsson T. ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fram won 5.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Fram is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Fram won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:12 (average 2.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Fram won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:5 (average 2.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fram Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.04.25	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Fram	3:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
19.04.25	Fram - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
13.04.25	Fram - Breiðablik	4:2 ✺
06.04.25	Fram - Akraness	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.03.25	Fram - Ranheim	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWLL
- Afturelding
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.04.25	Afturelding - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
17.04.25	Afturelding - Höttur Huginn	5:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
13.04.25	Afturelding - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Breiðablik - Afturelding	2:0 ✺
Icelandic League Cup
09.03.25	Afturelding - HK Kópavogur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic League Cup
17.02.23	Afturelding - Fram	3:4
Icelandic Division 1
18.09.21	Fram - Afturelding	6:1
09.07.21	Afturelding - Fram	0:2
29.08.20	Afturelding - Fram	1:2
03.07.20	Fram - Afturelding	1:0
09.08.19	Afturelding - Fram	3:0
31.05.19	Fram - Afturelding	3:1

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