Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 7

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Francana		EC São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	3.65	2.88	2.05
	3.84	2.92	1.99
	3.3	2.83	2.29	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2.05
	3.66	3.15	2.09
	4	3	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.2)	2.95 ↑ (2.94)	2.06 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francana
24.8%

Draw
30.9%

EC São Bernardo
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

30.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

29.9%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

EC São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francana than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Francana - EC São Bernardo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - EC São Bernardo (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. EC São Bernardo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+5', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
88', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Francana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

EC São Bernardo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Francana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Francana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.02.26	União Barbarense - Francana	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Francana - União Suzano	3:0 ✺
04.02.26	Francana - Desportivo Brasil	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Itapirense - Francana	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Francana - Catanduva	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLL
- EC São Bernardo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.02.26	EC São Bernardo - Catanduva	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	EC São Bernardo - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
04.02.26	XV de Jaú - EC São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	EC São Bernardo - União Suzano	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Desportivo Brasil - EC São Bernardo	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
22.01.25	EC São Bernardo - Francana	1:1

Francana - EC São Bernardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide