Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 6

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Albena Stadium (Albena)


	Fratria		Nesebar

	1	X	2
	1.11	6.5	23
	1.08	6.97	13.51
	1.13	6.83	18.5	Watch
	1.08	7.6	23	Watch
	1.11	6.5	23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.77)	6.88 ↑ (3.4)	20.2 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fratria
82.3%

Draw
13.2%

Nesebar
4.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26.3%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fratria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fratria's performance.

Nesebar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nesebar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fratria than the current prediction. (-30.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fratria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nesebar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fratria - Nesebar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kitanov G. (G) 3. Angelov A. 7. Angelov D. 14. Burov D. 8. Dobrev S. 5. Dobrev V. (C) 74. Gashchuk M. 71. Ibryam I. 9. Kadir D. 77. Lazarov G. 22. Lukanov D.	33. Pepelyashev P. (G) 14. Balinov D. 5. Dimov P. 9. Gelin N. 91. Hristov V. 13. Ivanov D. 8. Kunev V. 4. Petrov T. 7. Slivov V. 3. Stoyanov I. (C) 10. Velinov S.
Substitutes
66. Andoni V. 19. Borisov N. 18. Ivanov K. 21. Kapitanov I. 17. Kostadinov M. 1. Petkov S. (G) 26. Petrov I. 2. Popov I. 39. Vasin D.	6. Dalev G. 15. Dalev K. 20. Gavov N. 90. Georgiev H. 1. Kaishev M. (G) 21. Minev A. 99. Parashkevov K. 18. Pyuskyulyu N. 11. Yanev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', 🟨,
77', 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Fratria is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fratria
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.08.24	Spartak Pleven - Fratria	0:0 ✺
12.08.24	Fratria - CSKA Sofia II	0:2 ✺
03.08.24	Fratria - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:1 ✺
27.07.24	Sportist Svoge - Fratria	0:1 ✺
20.07.24	Fratria - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLLWT
- PFC Nesebar
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.08.24	Nesebar - Sportist Svoge	2:1 ✺
13.08.24	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Nesebar	6:1 ✺
03.08.24	Nesebar - Lovech	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Dunav Ruse - Nesebar	2:0 ✺
20.07.24	Nesebar - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLW

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