Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 12

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Albena Stadium (Albena)


	Fratria		Strumska Slava Radomir

	1	X	2
	1.84	3.59	3.19
	1.81	3.83	3.63	Watch
	1.85	3.42	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.45)	3.61 ↓ (3.75)	3.53 ↓ (6.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fratria
49.3%

Draw
25%

Strumska Slava Radomir
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

24.2%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

23.4%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fratria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fratria's form might have worsened.

Strumska Slava Radomir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Strumska Slava Radomir's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fratria than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fratria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strumska Slava Radomir than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Strumska Slava Radomir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Fratria - Strumska Slava Radomir Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fratria will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kitanov G. (G) 3. Angelov A. 7. Angelov D. 8. Dobrev S. 5. Dobrev V. (C) 74. Gashchuk M. 71. Ibryam I. 21. Kapitanov I. 17. Kostadinov M. 77. Lazarov G. 22. Lukanov D.	12. Petkov D. (G) 77. Dilchovski M. 33. Georgiev S. 7. Iliev E. 13. Ivanov G. 5. Kostov M. 20. Mitsakov D. 2. Nikolov B. (C) 3. Sandev R. 4. Stoychev L. 9. Vachev T.
Substitutes
4. Corso D. 25. Dryventak X. 9. Kadir D. 12. Kalev A. (G) 75. Lisak A. 2. Popov I. 13. Totev N. 20. Tsvetanov Ignatov V.	15. Durev T. 91. Ivanov J. 11. Ivanov M. 18. Kadric A. 99. Rashkov R. (G) 19. Stoilov M. 8. Yanev G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
30', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,
81', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Fratria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Strumska Slava is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Strumska Slava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fratria is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fratria
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.09.24	Belasitsa Petrich - Fratria	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Fratria - Minyor Pernik	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Yantra Gabrovo - Fratria	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Fratria - Montana	1:2 ✺
02.09.24	Ludogorets II - Fratria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WTWLL
- Strumska Slava Radomir
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.09.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Sportist Svoge	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Strumska Slava Radomir	3:1 ✺
14.09.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Lovech	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Dunav Ruse - Strumska Slava Radomir	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLTL

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